ORLANDO, Fla. – April 18, 2012 – The Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC) Housing
Commission held a public forum in Winter Park yesterday to discuss Florida’s
response to recent problems in its housing market. The group focused on U.S.
policies, state policies and local conditions that led to the recent crisis, as
well as those that helped or hindered a recovery.
The forum, held at
Rollins College, featured former U.S. Senator and Department of Housing and
Urban Development Secretary (HUD) Mel Martinez, co-chair of the BPC Housing
Commission and vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase & Co.
It also included
regional housing experts from Central Florida. According to CoreLogic’s February
foreclosure report, the Orlando and Tampa metros tied for the state’s highest
foreclosure rate – 12.3 percent (1 in 8) of homes with a mortgage in some stage
of the foreclosure process.
The forum’s goal was to look at the way
national and state policies impact a single region. Some of the discussion was
based on new research from the University of California, Berkeley, comparing the
U.S. housing finance system to other countries.
“By studying both the
real-world effects of this nation’s financial crisis on regional housing markets
and how other countries handled similar crises, we can examine ways to spur our
own economic recovery and learn effective strategies to better handle the
temptations of another hot housing market in the future,” said Mel
Martinez.
Speakers pointed out that many factors influence regional
housing markets, including demographics, income levels, local economic growth
and job creation. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor statistics, Florida’s
9.4 percent unemployment rate in February, for example, was significantly higher
than the 8.2 percent rate for the nation as a whole. Clearly, they said,
unemployment helped fuel foreclosures in Florida.
“We cannot begin to
talk recovery in Central Florida’s housing market without first addressing the
region’s economic development as a whole,” said Dr. Sean Snaith, director of the
University of Central Florida’s Institute for Economic Competitiveness. “Housing
and the labor market are the Siamese twins of Florida’s economy. When
unemployment rates rise, so do foreclosures. When people have paychecks, they
have money to buy houses. Until the labor market stabilizes, economic recovery
in Florida will continue to be slow.”
The Housing Commission also
released a study by the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics at the
University of California, Berkeley, entitled, “A Comparative Context for U.S.
Housing Policy: Housing Markets and the Financial Crisis in Europe, Asia and
Beyond.” The study examines how local economic, national and global financial
forces shape housing markets in the United States and around the world. It looks
at popular mortgage products in other countries, such as adjustable rate
mortgages and non-recourse loans, to see whether U.S. homebuyers should consider
shifting homebuyer financing in some way to avoid a future market
collapse.
According to the worldwide study, some countries had early
interventions that helped keep the housing problem from reaching a crisis level
– ones that required less government intervention down the road. Successful
responses in other countries generally involved more conservative lending
practices and stronger regulations.
However, the report found that no
country is completely immune from irrational behavior. Still, recent events such
as the current housing crisis tend to dampen similar irrational behavior in the
near future.
“The way different countries handled the global financial
crisis … illustrates the tradeoffs between tightly regulating markets, which
offers more stability but narrower choices, and more dynamic systems that are
riskier for borrowers and lenders,” said Dr. Cynthia Kroll, one of the report’s
authors.
“Moving forward, policymakers will have to weigh these pros and
cons and determine whether it is possible to strike an optimal balance in
housing policy that would retain its dynamic features and encourage mobility,
while still protecting homeowners and borrowers … and lenders,” said Dr. Ashok
Bardhan, another of the report’s authors.
© 2012 Florida
Realtors®